The project has the overall purpose of enhancing capacity for forecasting mass atrocities and genocide globally and in the Asia-Pacific region. The specific aims are to:
- develop sophisticated, appropriate, and cutting-edge quantitative forecasting models,
- improve understanding of the causes of political instability and conflict which greatly increase the probability of mass atrocities or genocide,
- improve understanding of the crucial causal processes which lead from instability to mass atrocities or genocide, and
- produce forecasts and reports which are useful as early warning tools for protection of vulnerable populations.
For more information visit the project page.